Find XO: Big Tech Wages a $650 Billion Capex War; Founders' Weapon Is Cheaper Inference (fortune.com)
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- Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta have allocated $650 billion for AI infrastructure in 2026, and Stargate has reserved $500 billion over four years.
- Although capital alone can't guarantee victory, the same capex has driven inference costs down to one-tenth in two years.
- However, cheaper tokens do not necessarily mean cheaper services.
- Usage can grow faster than cost declines, so small teams should verify repeated use and unit economics before focusing on model performance.